Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2127.511653 2316.162416 2508.479291 2718.910927 2942.391709 3172.357840 3426.589860
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1812.044983 2088.342689 2381.770442 2715.460222 3083.257307 3475.134897 3923.077574
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1591.844385 1915.623724 2270.185380 2684.961472 3154.488375 3667.157716 4266.845150
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1458.370182 1819.578281 2225.294168 2710.954856 3272.582608 3897.769646 4642.308154
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1334.874397 1721.531681 2165.955363 2709.010680 3348.949845 4073.397828 4949.586591
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1259.880016 1672.836759 2157.136802 2759.508043 3480.823849 4309.054680 5323.772431
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1159.321010 1585.190443 2094.793685 2739.850753 3524.494838 4437.897699 5570.916812
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1110.745824 1557.586806 2101.554133 2800.376620 3661.637734 4675.699401 5946.456322
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1047.189430 1506.458450 2075.303746 2816.934410 3742.852445 4845.247332 6240.443647
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 983.673661 1451.210410 2040.193631 2819.139881 3803.821404 4988.706574 6502.450742
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 888.245652 1348.394989 1939.233645 2733.177531 3750.690862 4989.412198 6588.176255
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 872.453759 1351.201052 1974.139858 2820.466812 3915.351945 5258.847435 7004.843054
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 840.732583 1331.352713 1979.179061 2869.981298 4034.248034 5475.155394 7361.708715
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 790.869759 1283.668235 1944.986620 2866.387181 4084.075048 5605.057455 7612.372693
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 734.806505 1223.990511 1891.643682 2834.616500 4095.072893 5684.341053 7798.772181
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 703.499453 1198.177674 1883.119887 2861.694143 4182.273234 5860.434767 8108.118592
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 664.732589 1159.227758 1854.416602 2859.668960 4229.785138 5985.062607 8352.289691
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 646.193626 1149.411638 1865.881732 2912.265720 4350.106182 6204.367103 8719.127598
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 606.260620 1104.913270 1825.955582 2891.792337 4370.798781 6293.316483 8918.118840
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 593.882384 1102.234597 1845.822682 2954.826384 4504.861288 6531.406371 9311.721767
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 569.001439 1078.581977 1833.943250 2972.067963 4575.916576 6686.634276 9598.385181
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 541.461270 1049.233235 1812.369551 2974.364439 4625.668749 6813.426852 9848.330670
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 491.255840 980.361281 1729.020123 2884.841738 4545.492289 6764.825213 9865.797412